Kershaw (knife catalogue)

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In connection to testing, the persistent conduct by the US of sub-critical tests of nuclear explosive devices, an activity focused on maintaining, not eliminating, nuclear stockpiles, is a source of concern. Efforts to establish a Fissile Material Cut-Off Treaty in the Conference on Disarmament (CD) are deadlocked. Furthermore, not all NWS have signed and ratified the protocols attached to the South-east Asia Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone (NWFZ) and the African NWFZ and there were no developments regarding the Middle Eastern NWFZ.

In most cases it seems unlikely that these conditions would be met by new nuclear-weapon states. According to Salomon, strategic stability can be defined as the existence of invulnerable strategic forces such that neither side could destroy the other’s ability to retaliate with a devastating blow, if attacked with nuclear weapons. Thus, strategic stability is closely connected with the survivability of forces designated for retaliation. Every potential NWS (with the possible exception of Israel) would lack secure second-strike forces for many years.

The non-proliferation consensus must hold, and hopefully be strengthened, even without spectacular progress in the direction of nuclear disarmament. Whether the various parties to the NPT realize this and are willing to contribute to this objective is less clear. qxd 28/09/2007 26 5:56 PM Page 26 Developments in arms control One could envisage a nuclear reduction agenda that would include the following items (with a strong non-proliferation regime as the bedrock): ratifying the CTBT44 and successfully negotiating a Fissile Material Cut-Off Treaty; accelerating the implementation of START II and the 2002 Moscow Treaty; ratifying all protocols related to NWFZs; engaging other NWS in arms control negotiations; freezing their arsenals as an interim measure; de-alerting nuclear weapons; enhancing transparency and promoting irreversibility;45 addressing rationales for possession of nuclear weapons and theories of deterrence; and, eventually, addressing delivery vehicles.

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